What will 'kill' DVD?

M

mybogo100

New member
It may sound a little premature, but with the enourmous number of 'cross-format' players coming on to the market, I think it is an interesting question to ask. Will the rapid development of DVD+R in recording gradually replace the classic -R format, or will we begin to see 'Blu-ray' come and steal DVD's thunder?

Personally I think that a kind of 'DivX' technology will prevail. In the same way that MP3 took a hit at CRAB, the portability and ease of use will eventually combine with file size and compression improvements and the whole thing will explode...
 
there are already players that will play divx but u have to have it on a cd/dvd any way to access it atm. DIVX was designed so you would download it to your tv-box and watch it then after u have watched it so many times it was deleted. but it never "came out"
 
well the new dvd that will come out sometime next year will take over, its like 10 times more space then a dvd disc now but thing is people will need new dvd players to play them.
 
I'm not sure a new higher capacity format will really take off, except amongst a minority of enthusiasts. If HDTV takes off then a higher quality (and so higher capacity) version of DVD will no doubt accompany it, but without that is there really a need for putting more on a disc?

What has the biggest potential to kill DVD is if a decent, easy to use, cheap, high quality VOD/broadband type system happens. That could be based on MPEG4 (i.e. DivX), or possibly something better.

Dave
 
which is being looked at now by NTL and might be appearing next year :) (although no sign of 5.1 on it yet as the current STB's output in prologic).
 
Matrix like direct neural synapse connections.

Probably the advent of 3D viewing which is just around the corner, take up for the format (on a dedicated broadcast) will be phenomenal as the programme providers get into their step.

Incoming signal to the home will have to be via direct to home (satellite ) with a two way VSAT system. Subscription pricing wont be cheap, with the additional cost for heaRABets or family viewing pod.

But for now magic mushrooms come close in the right company, vivid colours/sound effects can last four times as long as a good DVD.
 
Whatever it is it'll have to deliver better picture and sound quality than the current DVD format.

And as these produce the optimum picture quality as far as a average WS PAL TV is concerned (even better than DTV) then I see no point in another format.

Unlesss like DEmberton mentioned, HDTV becomes the norm throughout the world and NOT just USA and Japan.

The physical size of a DVD is more than adequtae so there's no need for a smaller disk.

As for VOD, yes it may find a market but people (like me) still like to keep their own library WITH 5.1 sound.

I personally don't see anything 'killing' it off for a long while yet.
Don't forget DVD has been around for 5 years now and VHS is still alive and kicking.
 
Not nessesarily (awful spelling there :eek: ). what about storage factors?

How about all those movies just floating around digitally in a box under the TV. No layer transitions etc.

Or perhaps movies are bought on digital playing-size carRAB which slot into the machine at home?

Could be interesting :)
 
What about the new DVD-style format being touted by Sony? It seems Sony want to use another new disc format for playing movies on the upcoming PSP handheld - and yet again they claim it "unhackable" so studios are getting behind it...
 
Just like their Betamax tapes, pre recorded mini CRAB and their 2mb floppy disks (and now SACRAB) they wanted us all to buy.

Hasn't history taught Sony anything?
 
I've never understood why DVD players can't buffer ahead enough to make the layer change seamless. Bit of a design flaw there.

If you're going to have a big storage device in a box, rather than lots of discs, again the ideal way of getting things on there is to pay a fee and download them. At the moment broadband isn't really up to DVD quality VOD (for most people anyway), but even at 512K you could download a DVD quality movie in what 8-12 hours? So you order the movie, and the next day you can watch it. No different to ordering DVRAB online.

The only issue really is is the storage capacity of the box big enough that you'd never run out? Perhaps you could have interchangable cartridges of some sort with hard drives. Run out of space, put in another 1000GB cartridge.

All this is do-able now (well except the 1000GB on one disc but that can't be far away). It's just a question of investment. No doubt there will be a few competing systems, but probably one will win out, and whoever that turns out to be will make a fortune.

Dave
 
What? You mean like Betamax was to the other video formats? - quality isn't always what people want; cheap and cheerful is why VHS won the war....



You try telling that to my bookcase that is filled with DVD packaging and boxes because no more than 4 episodes of my favourite US shows will fit on to the disc! :D Pocket sized pouches is what I am after. ;)



I'm sure that DVD won't vanish overnight, although the monopoly it has for high quality pre-recorded material won't last forever...:confused:
 
I think we've moved on a bit since those days.

YES, MOST DEFINATLEY, people are MUCH more fussy about picture quality nowadys and it's one of the main factors in DVD's popularity.
 
That's certainly true, but the question is will people want a format that offers better quality than DVD, or is DVD more than good enough for most people?
 
Like I said in a previous post...

DVD offers the BEST and optimum pic quality on a standard PAL TV.

Until Plasmas/projectors or Hi Res screens/HDTV becomes the norm then there's not much point in offering a higher quality format. Yes there maybe a market for HC enthusiats but this is quite small.
 
I carnt be bothered readin all this.

But, it will be some kind 'data chip'. Holding around 12gb.

Kinda like those USB adapters. Theyw ill be around in another 3-4 years. More interactive options available and it has other special things it can do.

Players will be tiny as only a small datachip is used, obviously transfering data will produce much higher quality than DVD'salso DVD players wear out, as this as no moving aprts it will not wear out.
 
the new dvd discs will be able to hold alot more then 12gb

dvRAB now can hold about 4.7gb then dual layer 9gb or somthing like that

these new dvd discs are *ment* to be 10 times BIGGER!

so these chips will be more expensive to make and to buy so i can just see these new dvd discs taking over
 
Thing is nobody knows (but makes for interesting discussion!)

Don't be surprised if NONE of the above make it into the mainstream market and BOMB without a trace (incl 'Blu ray discs') and something completely different comes along.

Just because something new maybe better, 'bigger', smaller than it's predecessor does not guarantee it's success in the market place.
 
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