2009 Oscar Nominations.

heres my predications, easily frost/nixon for best pic, adapted screen play is a tough one this year, i would hope bolt gets animated but i suspect it will be the drival that is wall-e or gayyyyeee as i prefer to call it.

Best Picture - Frost/Nixon
Best Actor - Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Best Actress -Angelina Jolie or Meryl Streep
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Best Director - David Fincher, Ron Howard , Danny Boyle
Best Original Screenplay - In Bruges
Adapted Screenplay - Frost/Nixon, The Reader, Slumdog Millionaire
Foreign - Departures
Animated - Bolt
 
I'm most disappointed for Best Actress category, sorry that Kate didn't get nommed for Revolutionary Road and that neither Sally Hawkins nor Kirstin Scott Thomas got nommed for two of the best performances of the year. Jolie IMO should have been sacrificed for Thomas or Hawkins, who put in far stronger performances.
 
The Reader was nominated because its a Holocaust film and those always get nominated regardless of their quality. Its a travesty that a mediocre British director like Stephen Daldry is nominated over the vastly more talented Christopher Nolan.

The Dark Knight was snubbed out of pure snobbery. TDK for me was an extremely thought provoking movie, far more intelligent than most of the nominated Oscar movies, it actually asks questions (whereas most Oscar movies provide glib, cliche answers). In terms of the issues that face us in the real world, Batman is actually the most relevant movie of 2008.
But the Academy voters ignore it because its a "superhero" movie.
 
I'm surprised Downey Jr got the Tropic Thunder nod ahead of Tom Cruise. Good for him though; a very under-rated actor. Shame he won't win at the expense of what, to me, is a very over-rated performance.
 
Last years Bafta acting winners all went on to win the oscar so will be keeping a cloe eye on the BAFTA results

I predict the acting winners will be Sean Penn, Kate Winslet, Viola Davis and Heath Ledger
 
Come on Kate Winslet :) I love her, I think this could be her year. Also will be crossing fingers for Heath Ledger. Also I really liked In Bruges so hope that comes away with a gong.

Can't stand Angelina Jolie, in fact she's the reason I didn't go to see Changeling. I've not liked her in anything really, don't know why. I hope Kate beats her to Best Actress.

Looking forward to finding out the winners.
 
i saw the reader this week, and thought it was excellent. hope Kate wins, as she's missed out before, and was fantastic in this.

not sure if you've seen it, but it certainly didn't provide glib, cliched answers at all - that was largely why it worked as well as it did.

at no point was Winslet's character ever really judged, or the audience particularly directed to whether she was good, or bad, but she was just who she was, and did what she did. there was neither moral preaching, nor indignant condemnation of her character.

would like to see slumdog win best picture, as its just such an exhilerating piece of cinema.

and Sean Penn for Milk - although i've not seen it yet, he looks superb from the trailers - its almost surreal the way he's matured into such a great actor.

and Heath should get it for TDK - there may well be posthumous sympathy involved, but so what - it was a superb performance, so is deserved anyway - not least because his talent won't have another opportunity to be recognised by the Academy.

Iain
 
The best indicator of Oscar success is the SAG awarRAB since most of the same people vote for both.
The Globes is a fun, glamour event that had no credibility just a few years ago. It just strikes lucky some years in picking winners who go on to win Oscars.

Everyone is going gaga for Slumdog but I have a feeling the Academy won't (and rightly so).

Slumdog is a good but certainly not great film. The acting is largely weak and amateurish especially from Dev Patel and Freida Pinto. The film rightly has no acting nominations and I can't see it winning best picture though I think Danny Boyle could trump David Fincher for best director.

I'm going with Benjamin Button for best picture.

Best actor is between Penn and Rourke. But Rourke has upset a lot of people in Hollywood in the past so he may not get the votes. Penn has won before. Dark Horse is Langella who could just do it.

Best actress - Sally Hawkins' performance irriated the hell out of many people who saw it (although it impressed others). So she lost out. Many people hated the film too.

Angelina deserves her nomination for a very good performance in an underwritten role. I still think she was better in her superbly nuanced performance in A mighty Heart last year.
And being a tabloid favourite doesn't sway Oscar voters if the performance isn't up to par, especially in a tough year like this one.

I think Kate Winslet should finally do it and deserves to win. She has been robbed so many times in the past especially as supporting actress robbed in Sense and Sensibility, one of her best ever performances.
If she doesn't win I think this year's Oscar has Streep's name written on it.
Dark horse - Hathaway.

Two brilliant films are up in the foreign category - The Class and Waltz with Bashir. I'd be happy to see either win.
 
They only do acting, though - and last year they got two out of four categories wrong. They picked Julie Christie for Best Actress and - absurdly - Ruby Dee for Best Supporting. And this year they're going to get it wrong at least once, cause I reckon whichever category Kate Winslet is nominated for The Reader in across all of these awarRAB shows - she'll win for it. SAG have her as Supporting; Oscar have her for Lead.



Hathaway is far from a "dark horse". If anything, she's a favourite. Many believe the Oscar race is basically her vs. Winslet.
 
What do you mean? They even switched categories for her to give her a better chance of winning.

She'd have won for The Reader in whichever category they nominated her in - she wouldn't have won for Revolutionary Road.
 
Do you not see any irony in the fact that you're condemning Academy snobbery for reducing TDK to a "superhero movie", yet you've opened the same post by reducing The Reader to a "holocaust film"? It works both ways on this issue...

Face it, a lot of people just didn't like The Dark Knight very much - regardless of how many of them paid to see it in the cinemas. Many thought it was dull, overlong, badly-written, inconclusive and not as interesting, relevant or thought-provoking as it perhaps wanted to be.

Personally I'm on neither side. I don't particularly care that it was snubbed; but I would have thought it reasonable for it to take the elusive "fifth slot" on the Best Picture list. Either way, it deserved its borderline/"outsider" status in the run-up to the awarRAB, IMO.

They should have credited Nolan for his direction, though.
 
Yep. Some really wonderful performances (primarily Sally Hawkins and Kristin Scott Thomas) had to be sacrificed for the Academy to make up for snubbing Angelina last year for A Mighty Heart. :(
 
This sounRAB stupid, as Winslet is far from old - but Hathaway has years ahead of her to win an oscar. Kate deserves it, her performance in every film is of such a high standard, she really neeRAB to win in 09!
 
My predictions!

Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Who should win: Slumdog
Who will win: Slumdog
Who i'd like to see win: Slumdog
(Travesty The Wrestler or TDK didn't even get nominated! :eek:)

Best Actor
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Who should win: Mickey Rourke
Who will win: Frank Langella
Who i'd like to see win: Mickey Rourke/Richard Jenkins
(if you haven't seen Richard Jenkins in The Visitor seek it out! Fab film and fab performance!)

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, The Reader

Who should win: Anne Hathaway
Who will win: Kate Winslet
Who i'd like to see win: Anna Hathaway

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

Who should win: Heath
Who will win: Heath
Who i'd like to see win: Heath
(I really wish Dev Patel had been nominated here!)

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler

Who should win: Marisa Tomei
Who will win: Penelope Cruz
Who i'd like to see win: Marisa Tomei

Best Director
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Gus van Sant - Milk
Stephen Daldry - The Reader
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

Who should win: Danny Boyle
Who will win: Danny Boyle
Who i'd like to see win: Danny Boyle
(Travesty that Darren Aronofsky didn't get nominated here for The Wrestler or Christopher Nolan for TDK! :eek:)
 
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