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Man Bear Pig
Guest
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BadASSMan
Guest
fivethirtyeight factors in polling data from multiple sources and has a history of being spot on. You should clearly be more worried than you actually are.
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TheRemains
Guest
I really don't know why they don't understand this. The populists greatest strength is the ignorance of the masses and libertarianism, in it's simplicity, can be very appealing to the uneducated looking for easy solutions to complicated problems
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uneek
Guest
a senate pickup of between 4 and 8 seats and a feasible shot at taking back the house and I should be worried?
democrats to even stay in the running are now distancing themselves from Obama; even the media is starting to turn - a senate majority means nothing without a leader and an agenda. they will be toothless and the next election cycle will wipe them out. governors races are going to lean on them even more. IOW, even retaining the senate doesn't tell the whole story. The senate was never considered a likely takeover (rather the house was, and still is). The democrats that are holding that majority in the senate are also much worse off, even if the latest numbers don't show many more republican pickups, and are going to kiss their seats goodbye in 2 more years
democrats to even stay in the running are now distancing themselves from Obama; even the media is starting to turn - a senate majority means nothing without a leader and an agenda. they will be toothless and the next election cycle will wipe them out. governors races are going to lean on them even more. IOW, even retaining the senate doesn't tell the whole story. The senate was never considered a likely takeover (rather the house was, and still is). The democrats that are holding that majority in the senate are also much worse off, even if the latest numbers don't show many more republican pickups, and are going to kiss their seats goodbye in 2 more years
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|3illy the |<
Guest
I think you could say the strength of either party is offering simple solutions for complicated problems while trying to appeal to their base.
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adrunkgerbil
Guest
lol @ EC's trolling over the past week
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mover
Guest
You got your chart from fivethirtyeight?
That seems unbiased.
That seems unbiased.
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tom37211
Guest
He has been on a roll!
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uneek
Guest
538 is pretty accurate. The senate numbers are fairly consistent with other polling results although I think most people would admit that this year could be an unexpected blowout
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BadASSMan
Guest
Meh, you are clinging to a 20% chance at best at reclaiming anything. And bowrofl @ you saying "the next election cycle the dems will get theirs" just like you said in 2008. bowrofl bowrofl bowrofl @ your denial
BOWROFL
BOWROFL
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CBFryman
Guest
He's training for the trolympics. The panties that have gotten twisted at first were but now he is starting to lose his pizaz.
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uneek
Guest
huh? I never said anything like that in 2008. I said Obama was going to walk all over McCain. There's about 60/40 on intrade for the republicans taking back the house and most models are around this figure so I'm not sure where you get 20% unless you mean senate
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BadASSMan
Guest
no, in 2008 you said the dems were going to get their asses kicked in 2010 and conservatives would take over congress. Now that it isn't going to even possibly happen you've pushed back your assessment by 2 years to 2012. BLOODBATH IN 2012!!
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uneek
Guest
the dems ARE going to get their asses kicked in 2012. I thought you meant I said they were going to lose in 2008