Oscar betting thread

Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain

Best Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote

Best Actress:
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica

Best Supporting Actor:
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain

Best Supporting Actress:
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener

Best Director:
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain


Tie-breakers:

Best Original Screenplay:
Crash

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
 
"The buzz is that the threat to Brokeback from Crash is now very real."

Frontrunner Brokeback Mountain may be defeated, says Los Angeles Times writer Tom O'Neil

Does anybody have a change of heart?
 
Best Motion Picture of the Year

Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel


Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)


Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)


Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)


Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)


Best Achievement in Directing

George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)


Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan


Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published

Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth
 
5/8 - same as the BAFTAs. Kind of wish Jake had got Best Supporting Actor, although I'm heavily biased since I've just seen Brokeback and haven't seen Syriana ;)
 
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