Is anyone here a consistent winner when it comes to betting on NFL games, because I

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need advice on how to win? and make money? How to win? I like to bet on games, it makes the NFL a whole lot more interesting, it takes a great sport and makes it even better, but I can not bet if I don't win. So I must win or quit, but I know I can not win if I do not bet, so I would like to try. Anyways, how can I make intelligent bets that give me the best possible chance of winning? What type of strategies should I be implementing? How important is instincts? Should I value instincts over stats? Are there sabremetrical stats I should be considering that others are missing? How should I value regular stats? this is where I am at right now for example-This Sunday I plan to take the over on the Saints vs. Bill at 54pts., my reasoning is that the Saints have scored 48 and 42 pts. in their 1st two games, they have running back issues, but I still feel they feel they are good for 35pts., now the Bills have improved this year, anytime you have TO and Evans, plus a pretty good QB, they put up I believe 32 pts. last week over 300 yds passing, at the same time the Saints gave up almost 400 yds passing to a backup QB and 22 points. I have decided this is a solid waher, what I would like to know is if I am on the right track into making intelligent picks or if I am completely off and if you might have any other ways to approach things. I want answers from winners only. Thank You
 
personally i prefer to use teasers. the pay out is a lot less but you chances of winning are better if you take a 4 team teaser you can give each team 13 points the payout is almost even money i made alot of money using those teasers. if you added 3 more bets the saints game would only have to go over 41
 
personally i prefer to use teasers. the pay out is a lot less but you chances of winning are better if you take a 4 team teaser you can give each team 13 points the payout is almost even money i made alot of money using those teasers. if you added 3 more bets the saints game would only have to go over 41
 
do not go by instinct as that is just based on odds and no facts, look at established nfl writers see what they think about upcoming games, never bet based on a teams record, just because a team is 2-0 doesnt mean they are better that a 0-2 or 1-1 team, look at the strenght of schedule, if your betting on points make sure you are betting against the right defense, the saints are a great offensive team but dont expect them to score big points against great pass defenses, honestly i try to analyze both teams weaknesses and their strenghts, i probably win 8 out of ten bets i make so works good for me, good luck
 
personally i prefer to use teasers. the pay out is a lot less but you chances of winning are better if you take a 4 team teaser you can give each team 13 points the payout is almost even money i made alot of money using those teasers. if you added 3 more bets the saints game would only have to go over 41
 
do not go by instinct as that is just based on odds and no facts, look at established nfl writers see what they think about upcoming games, never bet based on a teams record, just because a team is 2-0 doesnt mean they are better that a 0-2 or 1-1 team, look at the strenght of schedule, if your betting on points make sure you are betting against the right defense, the saints are a great offensive team but dont expect them to score big points against great pass defenses, honestly i try to analyze both teams weaknesses and their strenghts, i probably win 8 out of ten bets i make so works good for me, good luck
 
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