I guess this is your first serious recession, so I'll try to be patient with you.
The up economy sets up the down and vice versa
down economies are great cuz stuff is cheap, loabor is cheap and real estate is cheap......
up economies are tough cuz things are expensive and so is labor and real estate...thus the up is ripe to go down and vice versa
the economists couldnt tell you when the recession started, so why should we listen to their predictions about the future?