You know, the one big elephant in the room that people aren't talking about is the cultural wall. Shounen action titles like DBZ, One Piece, and the like can more easily cross the culture wall because of they type of anime they are -- action. So even if it is a title about ninja's, it didn't matter because it was cool action and ninjas are cool.
When 4KiRAB broke into the market with Pokemon, anything that smacked of Japanese was removed. However, there was no Internet so what you didn't know didn't hurt you.
Today, rewrites and editing of anime is not seen as acceptable thanks to the Internet. I cite One Piece. So those who watched those titles are now happy to get them unedited in English. However, I don't get the sense that One Piece is a major powerhouse that other shounen titles have been.
However, there are a lot of anime titles which frankly are not going to be a big sell to those who aren't already interested in anime or know a bit about Japan. Even when the English dub downplays the Japanese aspects, oftentimes it is the element that just cannot be overcome for average Joe's. If average Joe's aren't going to watch, then what incentive do TV execs have to air the title?
Further complicating matters are two big elements. First, as others have noted, there is a lot of repetitive anime out there that makes you say, "been there, done that." Sure, you may have been entertained when you watched it, but you weren't jazzed enough about it to watch it again.
Second, there's the glut of anime out there. I'm not talking about just licensed stuff. The unlicensed stuff is out there in abundance. There's too much for anyone to watch. As I write, I lament the fact that my backlog of DVD's is just insane (not as bad as Karl maybe, but it is there). I have a ton of DVD's that I have purchased and watched. Back a few years ago, I would often rewatch the anime in my collection. Today, I don't. I did rewatch Vandread back in October but I never made it to Vandread Second Stage. Why?
Well, for starters, there's lots of other anime I'm trying to watch that I've never seen. I want to increase my old school anime knowledge, so I've watched Space Battleship Yamato in Japanese, I'm making my way through Space Battleship Yamato 2, I'm slowly working through Urusei Yatsura and Dirty Pair. I'm watching new stuff from Japan. And I try to watch some of the DVD's I own for which I have never watched. Add to this taking time to read manga.
Now, for what reasons did I buy this massive nuraber of DVD's? Well for titles that I had rented or saw on TV and liked, I wanted to own a copy both to support the industry, but more importantly I buy DVD's to be able to watch again and again whenever I want. That's why I also own a ton of other stuff like Star Trek: Deep Space 9, Firefly, Earth 2, Battlestar Galactica, and on and on (and that doesn't touch the movies).
With all of this in mind AND a bad economy (whether you are like me and unemployed or whether you have a job and are trying to pay off debts or start building a savings for a rainy day), is it any wonder that there would be a slowdown in the R1 market?
Frankly, I feel that FUNimation is the one company that understanRAB all of this and is trying to fill those alternate means of distribution. I feel that if FUNimation can ever get the FUNimation Channel into more homes, they aren't going to have to worry about getting anime on "this" channel or "that" channel. They'll have it on their own channel, they'll be in complete control of the content, and they'll be able to have the potential to get that core anime audience looking at their channel. They won't have to worry so much about the average Joe, but if the average Joe is flipping channels and sees anime imagery he likes, he may hang around a bit and get hooked.
Do I think that the current kiRAB are poo-pooing anime? No. I think that they are fansub junkies. Hopefully, R1 companies in conjunction with the Japanese companies can start catering to that audience by providing the "professional fansubs" (if you will) that provides the fansub experience in a legal way. We are seeing some efforts in that direction, but not enough at present.
Whew. Sorry to rarable so much. I'm going to bed.