Were Dr. Hansen's predictions correct?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Lucifer Hussein Satan
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Lucifer Hussein Satan

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I find it amusing that I even have to ask this question but the suggestion has been made that things have progressed "just as Dr. Hansen predicted." I just want to lay this question finally to rest here - it's a bit like asking whether there were WMDs in the quantities and lethalities that President Bush and Vice President Cheney insisted were there. But because the suggestion was made, I ask the question. All answers from all 'sides' are welcome.

http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000836evaluating_jim_hanse.html

http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000838scenarios_scenarios.html
Ah, the outcome in Scenario C over-predicts by only a small amount, you are correct.

But it corresponds to assumptions that CO2 levels would be reduced, when in fact they've only continued to increase.

That would make the prediction incorrect.
If I'd told you that in the Philly/Arizona game, if Cunningham is injured early, Arizona would win big, and if Cunningham is injured late, Arizona would win by a close margin, and if Cunningham played the whole game, then Philly would win, then I wouldn't be right even though one of my predicted results came true - because it didn't match the correct assumption.
See that's the thing - if I say

"If X then A, if Y then B, if Z then C" and X and C happen, then I wasn't right.
 
On AGW predictions hansen gets 0 for 10. Not one single prediction he has made over the last 30 years has come true in any fashion, nor will it. for Bush/Cheney on WMD the media blanked the truth on this and GW knowing the truth taunted them a couple of times in comedy skits. see the link below for details, the warmers if they read this report will give me 100 or more downs so skeptics i am going to need a lot of ups to keep this on view.


http://acsa2000.net/thedevilanddrrice.htm
 
Obviously not up to this point in time. It doesn't mean that some amount of warming may be due to man's CO2 because the period being focused on is very short relative to climate change phenomenon. It certainly does show that the model used is very inaccurate for this period, and may even debunk the entire theory if the present trend continues.

I for one believe global warming is primarily natural and Man's CO2 is probably not very significant. Time and more data will tell. I also believe we should reduce the use of foreign oil and fossil fuels in general for obvious reasons.
 
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