L
Lucifer Hussein Satan
Guest
I find it amusing that I even have to ask this question but the suggestion has been made that things have progressed "just as Dr. Hansen predicted." I just want to lay this question finally to rest here - it's a bit like asking whether there were WMDs in the quantities and lethalities that President Bush and Vice President Cheney insisted were there. But because the suggestion was made, I ask the question. All answers from all 'sides' are welcome.
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000836evaluating_jim_hanse.html
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000838scenarios_scenarios.html
Ah, the outcome in Scenario C over-predicts by only a small amount, you are correct.
But it corresponds to assumptions that CO2 levels would be reduced, when in fact they've only continued to increase.
That would make the prediction incorrect.
If I'd told you that in the Philly/Arizona game, if Cunningham is injured early, Arizona would win big, and if Cunningham is injured late, Arizona would win by a close margin, and if Cunningham played the whole game, then Philly would win, then I wouldn't be right even though one of my predicted results came true - because it didn't match the correct assumption.
See that's the thing - if I say
"If X then A, if Y then B, if Z then C" and X and C happen, then I wasn't right.
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000836evaluating_jim_hanse.html
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000838scenarios_scenarios.html
Ah, the outcome in Scenario C over-predicts by only a small amount, you are correct.
But it corresponds to assumptions that CO2 levels would be reduced, when in fact they've only continued to increase.
That would make the prediction incorrect.
If I'd told you that in the Philly/Arizona game, if Cunningham is injured early, Arizona would win big, and if Cunningham is injured late, Arizona would win by a close margin, and if Cunningham played the whole game, then Philly would win, then I wouldn't be right even though one of my predicted results came true - because it didn't match the correct assumption.
See that's the thing - if I say
"If X then A, if Y then B, if Z then C" and X and C happen, then I wasn't right.