Dr. Hansimian's hurricane forecast prediction

  • Thread starter Thread starter ballz2wallz
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NOAA's actually pretty accurate at depicting the number of named storms per season. 2005 was the one season they were really off on.

Other than that they're mostly within the range they predict.

2004 - (12 to 15) - 15 named storms
2005 - (12 to 15) - 28 named storms
2006 - (13 to 16) - 10 named storms
2007 - (13 to 17) - 15 named storms
2008 - (14 to 18) - 16 named storms

http://tphurricaneblog.com/2009/07/02/atlantic-forecast-accuracy/


graph of the upper limit of named storms.
The guy's graph is a bit off for 2007 and 2008 but maybe he missed the corrected predictions
 
this year we will have 13-17 storms. there. lets see how i end up ranking with the experts.
 
anybody can predict anything
lol


i predict i will take a shit when i get home


does that make me an expert in bowel movements?
 
Oh look, a graph and actual facts that prove you absolutely, 100% wrong.


Nah, fuck that. Keep scouring youtube for videos that support your ignorance.
 
and big eight? who the hell bets the big eight? thats for the assholes that throw away a nickel every roll with the world bet.
 
and the other thing is that they do different forecasts at different points in the year. the ones closer to the season are way more accurate.
 
So you are saying that forecasting, even with computer models, if more accurate ... say 6 months out, than say ... what the average temperature of the planet will be in 100 years?
 
14 to 23?

Let's see... The average number going back as far as recorded history shows the average to be 14.

So let's make predictions that include the 14 mark to cover our bases!

Oh and make our range bigger "just in case", say a margin of 9.
 
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