Average Global Temperatures are Below 1940 Levels. Has "Global Warming" Stopped?

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Dr Jello

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From the UK's Met Office, Temperatures peaked in 1998 and have been dropping since.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/images/science/monitoring/monthly.PNG

Temperatures are now below 1940 levels.

How is this drop in global climate temperatures consistent with the theory of "Global Warming" when co2 levels are increasing and global climate temperatures are declining?

Why do you think global climate temperatures are declining?
 
Cooling for any reason is hard on the theory of global warming.
For the theory to be catrostrophic, CO2 has to be the dominant force in temperture. Not just a Force.

The reason is the Feedbacks are not tied to CO2 directly they are an indirect tie to temperature rise or fall.

Falling temperatures will turn positive feedbacks into negative feedbacks.

Trends and statitics can be horrible misleading and should always contain the soard data. I recently graphed the dow Jones since 1990 with a 5 year moving average. Guess what it is trending upward even though it is the same price as it was back in 1998.

The real difference is how it makes you feel. The 5 year moving average makes you feel good about it. The real graph says it is a lost decade for investing.
 
i think that graph is misleading.
it's been going down for a few years now.
buy overall. for the past 100 yrs its been going up.

but i think if you zoomed out on that graph you would be amazed at what you saw.
 
All I see here is someone who can't read a graph and any myths you are trying to push about global cooling will be shown a dose of reality as the arctic summer returns in a few months.
 
All I see here is someone who can't read a graph and any myths you are trying to push about global cooling will be shown a dose of reality as the arctic summer returns in a few months.
 
The "theory of global warming" as you put it, would allow for random spikes in temperature. It's the overall trend that's important.
 
I wish we didn't have to wait another ten years to prove our point, but I fear that we will. Hopefully it won't be too late to figure out ways to combat the issues that extremely cold weather in the winter causes, shorter growing seasons and anything else that occurs during an ice age.
 
I don't see what you're seeing, Dr. J. In the graph presented, it appears that the upper bounds of monthly mean temperatures in the 1940's match the mid to lower bounds of monthly mean temperatures for the 2000's. That isn't equivalent to your statement that average temperatures today are lower.

Here's a clearer image of the same data:

http://woodfortrees.org/graph/hadcrut3vgl

And here's the same data averaged annually:

http://woodfortrees.org/graph/hadcrut3vgl/mean:12
 
Sorry, but your figures haven't been altered...err...adjusted yet. Any one year is weather/an anomaly/natural masking...man-made global warming is just being hidden by the facts. Ignore them. Trust the government and its pet lab rats. They're here to help.
 
I see a lot of noise with a general upward trend. According to this graph it also dropped below the 1940 level around 1994. Do you conclude that the earth went into a cooling trend in 1994? As a matter fact it seems to go to a local minimum about every 10 years.

You cannot determine a trend by comparing two points and complete ignoring the 100's of other points.
 
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